Jon Rahm (+900)

Rahm as the third favorite at +900 behind Scheffler and McIlroy at +700 feels wrong. At the very least, he should be co-favorites with them, but a few poor showings in his last two events have dropped his odds from the top. Even though he finished 27th at last year’s Masters, he rattled off four straight top 10s at Augusta prior to that (fifth, seventh, ninth, fourth).

He already has three wins and six top 10s in nine starts this season and ranks first in Strokes Gained: Total, as well as birdie average. He’s 28th in SG: Off The Tee, fourth in approach and 12th in putting. It doesn’t need to be said, but he has the all-around game to win his first green jacket.

Tony Finau (+2000)

Finau has quietly had a fantastic season so far, with nine top-25 finishes in 10 starts. He has a win already, too, and is now heading to a course where he’s notched three top 10s in five tries.

Few players are as well-rounded as Finau is right now, either. He’s fourth in SG: Total, with rankings of 25th off the tee, third on approach and 23rd in putting. His odds are fairly short at +2500 but he’s coming into the week with three wins since last July.

Jason Day (+2200)

We can go ahead and ignore the last three years of the Masters for Day. He didn’t play last year and missed the cut in his previous two appearances. That was not the version of Day we’re getting this week. Right now, he’s much more like the player who notched four top 10s here in the past and didn’t finish worse than T-28 from 2013-2019.

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Day is on the cusp of winning again and he could get it done at a course he loves. He’s playing as well as anyone right now, with 11 top 25s in 13 starts, including six top-10s. The only two times he finished outside the top-25 was when he missed the cut earlier in the season.

Collin Morikawa (+2500)

Morikawa missed the cut at two of the biggest tournaments so far this year (WM Phoenix Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational), but he already has a second-place finish and five top 25s in 10 total starts. He said recently he’s happy to be back hitting his comfortable fade, which should give him confidence going into the Masters. He ranks ninth in SG: Total, and that’s despite being 120th in SG: Putting. He’s finished 18th and fifth in his last two Masters.

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